{"schema":"plot.claim/v1","address":{"kind":"claim","id":"E9VW-J2","version":1,"latest_version":1,"is_latest":true,"release":null,"url":"https://www.plot.eco/c/E9VW-J2","formats":{"html":"https://www.plot.eco/c/E9VW-J2","json":"https://www.plot.eco/c/E9VW-J2.json","md":"https://www.plot.eco/c/E9VW-J2.md","embed":"https://www.plot.eco/c/E9VW-J2/embed"}},"record_type":"observation","statement":"At +2 °C of global warming, about 100% of Coastal Saltmarsh's mapped extent in Hobsons Bay would be outside its 1961–1990 climate envelope in a given year (models range 100%–100%; 1961–1990 baseline 38%).","about":{"id":"3B3N-H5","name":"Saltmarsh","kind":"habitat","url":"https://www.plot.eco/e/saltmarsh","place":null},"object":null,"measure":"Share of extent outside its reference envelope","value":{"text":"1 share","number":1,"lower":null,"upper":null,"comparator":"=","unit":"share"},"caveats":{"kind":"modelled_forecast","kind_label":"Modelled or forecast","origin":"plot_model","origin_label":"PLOT model","period":{"text":"at +2 °C global warming above 1850–1900","start":null,"end":null},"verification":{"level":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed","step":3,"of":4,"meaning":"PLOT checked the claim against its source. This is not independent verification.","basis":"person","basis_note":"Checked by a person."},"open_questions":{"count":0,"note":"Open questions and challenges are counted publicly; their text is published when they are resolved."}},"temporal_status":"scenario","method":"climate.envelope.percentile@0.1 (content/climate/methods.json): area-weighted share of the extent's cell-years outside the habitat's statewide 1961–1990 5th–95th percentile band on mean annual temperature, driest-quarter rainfall or days at or above 35 °C; the 1961–1990 baseline is given beside it. climate.gwl.delta@0.1: IPCC Atlas region SAU, SSP3-7.0, per-model monthly change at the level applied to 1961–1990; median across models.","uncertainty":"10th–90th percentile across models: 100%–100%.","limitations":"A pressure indicator, not a measure of condition or of change in the vegetation. Grid cells (about 5 km) miss microclimate. Regional change factors, not downscaled.","explanation":null,"source":{"title":"SILO gridded climate data (daily and monthly, 0.05°)","publisher":"Queensland Government (Department of Environment, Science and Innovation)","url":"https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/silo/gridded-data/","locator":"PLOT climate outside share, boundary place:plot:place:hobsons-bay, reference 1961–1990","page":null,"plot_url":"https://www.plot.eco/s/50JB-JQ?snippet=d8f978b0-e689-4bdd-ae83-419b35fc2f98"},"framework_targets":[],"editions":["october-26th-release"],"history":[{"version":1,"change_reason":null,"current":true}],"resolved_questions":[],"sourcing":null,"jobs":null,"cite_as":"PLOT record c/E9VW-J2 v1, Queensland Government (Department of Environment, Science and Innovation) (at +2 °C global warming above 1850–1900), modelled or forecast"}