PLOT c/QWFW-0N · version 1 of 1
At +2 °C of global warming, about 92% of Coastal Saltmarsh's mapped extent in Victoria would be outside its 1961–1990 climate envelope in a given year (models range 77%–99%; 1961–1990 baseline 21%).
0.9234 shareShare of extent outside its reference envelope
About Saltmarsh
- Kind
- Modelled or forecast
- Who said it
- PLOT model
- Period
- at +2 °C global warming above 1850–1900
- Checked
- Reviewed (step 3 of 4): PLOT checked the claim against its source. This is not independent verification.
- Open questions
- None openOpen questions and challenges are counted publicly; their text is published when they are resolved.
- Where it says so
- SILO gridded climate data (daily and monthly, 0.05°) (on longpaddock.qld.gov.au) (Queensland Government (Department of Environment, Science and Innovation)) · View in PLOT — PLOT climate outside share, boundary jurisdiction:VIC, reference 1961–1990
- How they know
- climate.envelope.percentile@0.1 (content/climate/methods.json): area-weighted share of the extent's cell-years outside the habitat's statewide 1961–1990 5th–95th percentile band on mean annual temperature, driest-quarter rainfall or days at or above 35 °C; the 1961–1990 baseline is given beside it. climate.gwl.delta@0.1: IPCC Atlas region SAU, SSP3-7.0, per-model monthly change at the level applied to 1961–1990; median across models.
- Uncertainty
- 10th–90th percentile across models: 77%–99%.
- Limitations
- A pressure indicator, not a measure of condition or of change in the vegetation. Grid cells (about 5 km) miss microclimate. Regional change factors, not downscaled.
- Framework targets
- none linked
- Editions
- october-26th-release
How we found this
Not recorded for this claim.
Cite as: PLOT record c/QWFW-0N v1, Queensland Government (Department of Environment, Science and Innovation) (at +2 °C global warming above 1850–1900), modelled or forecast
History (1)
- Version 1 (shown here): first published version